Wobbles do more than just wobble
They cause serious damage to our homes.
Saturday, January 15, 2011 by Uvah | Discussion: WinCustomize Talk
Reading Mrs. starkers thread, Floods are near', I've been doing some thinking. An article I found while surfing around yahoo mentions Earth's Wobble. A difference in its inclination to the sun. At present it is at 23.44 degrees and is decreasing. The extreme it'll reach is at 22.1 degrees in approximately, no joke, 10,000 years. The full cycle takes 26,000 years. Here is the first installment.
This year's La Nina event, a cyclical cooling of the Pacific Ocean, could be one for the record books, according to new satellite data from NASA.
Satellite images of the Pacific Ocean reveal La Nina stayed strong in the final two months of 2010.
"The solid record of La Nina strength only goes back about 50 years and this latest event appears to be one of the strongest ones over this time period," said Bill Patzert, a climatologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif.
Patzert said this powerful La Nina's effects can be felt around the world, and researchers say it is partially responsible for the floods now devastating Australia.
"The copious rainfall is a direct result of La Nina's effect on the Pacific trade winds and has made tropical Australia particularly rainy this year," said David Adamec, an oceanographer at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, in Greenbelt, Md.
"Although exacerbated by precipitation from a tropical cyclone, rainfalls of historic proportion in eastern Queensland, Australia have led to levels of flooding usually only seen once in a century," Adamec said.
The new NASA satellite image depicts sea surface height, which is linked to sea temperature as water expands when it heats up and becomes more compact as it cools. The cooler-than-normal pool of water that stretches from the eastern to the central Pacific Ocean is a hallmark of a La Nina event.
"This La Nina has strengthened for the past seven months, and is one of the most intense events of the past half century," Patzert said.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_wobble
This link explains part of the effects. Its very complex for those not familiar with it.
Reply #2 Saturday, January 15, 2011 10:50 AM
This is exactly what I mean. Same thing with a pail full of water. Put a tiny pebble under it and the swirling water inside will cause the pail to wobble. Being that precession is decreasing these effects can and are being felt more strongly around the globe. Witness the extreme floods not only in Australia but in Brazil and Indonesia as well. The Pacific coast of the United States is being hit will stronger than usual storms and the frequency has increased. The blizzards in the midwest, a huge dense high pressure system just sitting midway between the Great Lakes and New England. The list goes on and on. Then there's the Solar Maximum, which we'll reach sometime next year. This coming decade is going to be one for the record books I think. A side note. 2010 has gone down in the books as the hottest year on record.
BTW ... good one Doc. ![]()
Reply #3 Saturday, January 15, 2011 2:44 PM
this is very interesting....
thanks for a great read
Reply #4 Saturday, January 15, 2011 10:18 PM
This is the second installment. Now climate change is the culprit. Read on.
Scientists see climate change link to Australian
floods
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Climate change has likely
intensified the monsoon rains that have triggered
record floods in Australia's Queensland state,
scientists said on Wednesday, with several months of
heavy rain and storms still to come.
But while scientists say a warmer world is predicted
to lead to more intense droughts and floods, it
wasn't yet possible to say if climate change would
trigger stronger La Nina and El Nino weather
patterns that can cause weather chaos across the
globe.
"I think people will end up concluding that at least
some of the intensity of the monsoon in Queensland
can be attributed to climate change," said Matthew
England of the Climate Change Research Center at the
University of New South Wales in Sydney.
"The waters off Australia are the warmest ever
measured and those waters provide moisture to the
atmosphere for the Queensland and northern Australia
monsoon," he told Reuters.
The Queensland floods have killed 16 people since
the downpour started last month, inundating towns,
crippling coal mining and are now swamping the
state's main city of Brisbane.
The rains have been blamed on one of the strongest
La Nina patterns ever recorded. La Nina is a cooling
of ocean temperatures in the east and central
Pacific, which usually leads to more rain over much
of Australia, Indonesia and other parts of Southeast
Asia.
Click image to see photos of the flooding in
Australia
Reuters/Tim Wimborne
This is because the phenomena leads to stronger
easterly winds in the tropics that pile up warm
water in the western Pacific and around Australia.
Indonesia said on Wednesday it expected prolonged
rains until June.
WEATHER SWITCH
The Pacific has historically switched between La
Nina phases and El Ninos, which have the opposite
impact by triggering droughts in Australia and
Southeast Asia.
"We've always had El Ninos and we've had natural
variability but the background which is now
operating is different," said David Jones, head of
climate monitoring and prediction at the Australia
Bureau of Meteorology in Melbourne.
"The first thing we can say with La Nina and El Nino
is it is now happening in a hotter world," he told
Reuters, adding that meant more evaporation from
land and oceans, more moisture in the atmosphere and
stronger weather patterns.
"So the El Nino droughts would be expected to be
exacerbated and also La Nina floods because rainfall
would be exacerbated," he said, though adding it
would be some years before any climate change impact
on both phenomena might become clear.
He said the current La Nina was different because of
the warmest ocean temperatures on record around
Australia and record humidity in eastern Australia
over the past 12 months.
Prominent U.S. climate scientist Kevin Trenberth
said the floods and the intense La Nina were a
combination of factors.
He pointed to high ocean temperatures in the Indian
Ocean near Indonesia early last year as well as the
rapid onset of La Nina after the last El Nino ended
in May.
"The rapid onset of La Nina meant the Asian monsoon
was enhanced and the over 1 degree Celsius anomalies
in sea surface temperatures led to the flooding in
India and China in July and Pakistan in August," he
told Reuters in an email.
He said a portion, about 0.5C, of the ocean
temperatures around northern Australia, which are
more than 1.5C above pre-1970 levels, could be
attributed to global warming.
"The extra water vapor fuels the monsoon and thus
alters the winds and the monsoon itself and so this
likely increases the rainfall further," said
Trenberth, head of the Climate Analysis Section at
the National Center for Atmospheric Research in
Boulder, Colorado.
"So it is easy to argue that 1 degree Celsius sea
surface temperature anomalies gives 10 to 15 percent
increase in rainfall," he added.
Some scientists said it was still too soon to draw a
definite climate change link to the floods.
"It's a natural phenomena. We have no strong reason
at the moment for saying this La Nina is any
stronger than it would be even without humans," said
Neville Nicholls of Monash University in Melbourne
and president of the Australian Meteorological and
Oceanographic Society.
But he said global atmospheric warming of about
0.75C over the past half century had to be having
some impact.
"It has to be affecting the climate, regionally and
globally. It has to be affecting things like La
Nina. But can you find a credible argument which
says it's made it worse? I can't at the moment."
Reply #5 Saturday, January 15, 2011 11:01 PM
There is not much we can do about, it's just one of those things.
People will just have to adapt and put systems in place for more extreme weather events.
Reply #6 Sunday, January 16, 2011 12:54 AM
Why do I get this picture of people scurrying east to west and back again then north to south and vice versa in an effort to balance the spin of the earth?
Reply #7 Sunday, January 16, 2011 6:12 AM
I could just see that happening. Talk about a Great Migration. 6+ billion people all running at once. Scary.
Reply #8 Sunday, January 16, 2011 9:09 AM
Bah, just when I think this is going to be a thread about those dedicated ladies who jog braless,....
Oh well, when you're out of luck you're out of luck. ![]()
Seriously, this is an interesting subject that my mother has been researching for years, with regard the the Earth's movement, time, the seasons and weather patterns, etc.. I sent a link to this article to her and she rang me this evening from the UK to say: 'See, I told you so... about 20 years ago!"
Yeah, she did, and now others are saying the same thing... like me muvver's a real cluey ol' bird in't she. ![]()
Reply #9 Sunday, January 16, 2011 10:43 AM
yup she sure is, and some people didn't believe her back then either ![]()
Reply #10 Sunday, January 16, 2011 11:23 AM

Reply #13 Sunday, January 16, 2011 7:12 PM
And while we're on the subject of La Nina... I thought she was a Mexican bandit who doubles as a dancer.
,,,, while El Nino is her hapless husband, who went to rob a bank, forgot what he was there for, so made a deposit instead.
![]()
Reply #14 Sunday, January 16, 2011 7:27 PM
While one may be cold the other is just the opposite, hot. The severe drought Australia experienced was a result of El Nino. Now the opposite extreme is true. When we reach solar max in less than a year it will be communications that will suffer. Fortunately there are safeguards in place to minimize the effect. Many changes have occurred.
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Reply #1 Saturday, January 15, 2011 10:34 AM
It is interesting. If the wobble affects the weather, and vice versa, it would seem difficult to determine which came first, the chicken or the egg. See here.