Solid State Drives: Already becoming Obsolete?

My prediction of why SSDs won't hit the mainstream market in time.

Monday, January 2, 2012 by VistArtXPosed | Discussion: PC Hardware

It's just a fact of life.  Whenever newer techonlogies come out, we like to think of them as "the next big thing".  However, since the trend for technological advances has been accelerating at an alarming rate, i'd like to point out that SSDs may soon become obsolete.  The reason?  The masses won't want to invest in PC's anymore.  They will all be migrating to tablets and smartphones, which have no drives for storage.  Those devices only have built-in internal flash memory (similar to SSDs I guess) except those devices can not be upgraded to a larger capacity SSD.  And this is just one reason why the promotion of SSDs will fail to hit the mainstream.  By studying tech trends, I have come up with reasons as to why this is.

-> Not enough stores are promoting SSDs:  If brick and mortar chains such as Wal-Mart or Best Buy started to promote and advertise SSDs and the benefits they have over hard drives, SSDs might have increased sales.  But there is one problem with that now, SSDs are still too expensive.  And the majority of Wal-Mart shoppers probably don't even know how to open their PC without breaking something inside.

->More PCs need eSATA ports for the inexperienced:  The majority of consumer PCs sold at Wal-Mart, Best Buy, and the like aren't equipped with eSATA ports.   And who in their right mind would run an SSD on USB 2.0?  You might as well run a hard drive if you're going that route.  If SSD makers decided to start reaching out to the mainstream market, they'll need to design somewhat larger and rougher, external SSDs that won't break if dropped, as the majority of typical soccer moms won't be opening up and fiddling around with the insides of a PC.  Connecting an SSD should be as easy as connecting an external hard drive.  And seeing how eSATA is only 3.0Gbps, they would only focus their simplicity on SATA II SSDs.  Casual tech users wouldn't need SATA III speeds.  And one more thing, make ALL SSDs bootable, whether internal or external.  After all, what good would an SSD be if you can't boot from it?

->The low capacities would turn-off consumers:   The inexperienced casual crowd wouldn't be able to tell much of a difference between a hard drive and solid-state drive, besides that an SSD is clearly smaller.  Most people do know about drive capacity size; that 500GB is bigger than 250GB.  Most people would not pay >$100 for a 60GB drive when they can get a 1000GB external hard drive for the same price, if not less.  And lets not even get to read/write speeds. 

->Integration with the Cloud would mean less localized storage:  This is clearly happening already.  As more people (casual and techies alike) are migrating to tablets & smartphones with syncing services, there will be less demand for localized storage, which includes SSDs.  And Cloud-Based storage is significantly cheaper than buying and installing an SSD (and having to either install an OS or restore from a drive image).  Five years from now only a small, niche market will still run PCs with localized storage.  I'm pretty sure that as the years go buy, Cloud-based storage will become even simpler and more secure than it is now.

->Even if SSDs become affordable, it will be too late:  The prices of SSDs are still going down, but they aren't down enough yet for retailers to put them on shelves.  I would say if SSDs hit brick and mortar chains right now, they would flop, mostly because of price.  Only a few techies here and there would actually invest in an SSD from a chain store.  Most of us (like me) would buy them online.  Whenever SSDs do become affordable, even if it's a year from now, it will be too late, because the demand for Tablets & Smartphones will skyrocket and those devices would become more affordable as well.  Casuals would rather spend $300 on a device that can surf the web, e-mail, and chat rather than $300 on a device that only provides local storage (albeit, SPEEDY local storage) and can't do anything else.  And seeing how most people today are so lazy, they won't even bother cracking open their PC box open.  Heck, they're probably too lazy to lug their machines (even if it's a laptop) to their local Best Buy to have an experienced tech install it for them.

And i'm not going to even talk about businesses and SSDs. I'm only focusing on consumers this time.


My predictions of SSD obsolesce may be premature, but it just seems so sad that only a few of us are experiencing what next-generation computing SHOULD be like.  Basically the same thing we're doing now, except a whole lot faster.   Only niche markets, such as gamers, power users, and tech enthusiasts are enjoying the brilliance and wonder that is a Solid State Drive.  I love SSDs and I have two of them now.  In fact, i'm running my PC on my Vertex 3 as I write this article.

My suggestion to you is that if you haven't done so already, and have the money to afford it, buy a Solid State Drive.  Not only because you'll have a much faster PC, but because you'll support the drive makers putting much effort into making such drives, and that increased sales will mean more competition.  And more competition will lead to newer, faster, and better technology.  It doesn't even have to be an expensive SSD.  Tell your friends and show off your new configs so they too will buy SSDs.  The age of the PC hard drive is over (for boot drives anyway), but the age of the PC should always live on!

Long live SSDs! 
First Previous Page 2 of 2 Next Last
RedneckDude
Reply #21 Thursday, January 5, 2012 7:50 PM

Thanks Starcandy! That'll come in handy when I can afford an SSD.

 

I taked to a few sales people that tell me that the SSD I get will depend on my CPU, is this correct? I wouldn't think that would matter.

 

Also, both sales people I spoke to tried to sell me hybrids...

Starcandy
Reply #22 Thursday, January 5, 2012 8:26 PM

No problem, Jim. As far as the sales people, you'd have to have a seriously crappy CPU for it to make any difference. I'm only running on a Phenom II dual core. I'm guessing they were confusing CPU with motherboard, and that's because of SATA III. Like Jorge stated, buying an SSD is the single biggest difference you can make to your computer. For many years, the hard drive was the bottleneck in pretty much all systems. SSD's changed that. Anyway, it's not uncommon for sales people in computer stores to know jack and shit about what they're selling, which is why they're sales people.

Jafo
Reply #23 Thursday, January 5, 2012 11:21 PM

Starcandy
For many years, the hard drive was the bottleneck in pretty much all systems.

Still can be...

7.5

7.5

7.9

7.9

6.9 - SSD

 

MadDeez
Reply #24 Thursday, January 5, 2012 11:25 PM

yeah, paul, but you're still running sata II. and a small ssd at that. aren't you still running that 60 gig sandforce drive?

RedneckDude
Reply #25 Friday, January 6, 2012 12:06 AM

Starcandy
No problem, Jim. As far as the sales people, you'd have to have a seriously crappy CPU for it to make any difference.

The guys asked me if I had an AMD or and Intel....that it makes a difference, I said I doubted it.

JcRabbit
Reply #26 Friday, January 6, 2012 12:44 AM

RedneckDude
The guys asked me if I had an AMD or and Intel....that it makes a difference, I said I doubted it.

In the defense of the sales guys, most people are clueless as to what motherboard they have, but they usually know what kind of CPU. From the type of CPU they have, you roughly know what chipset their motherboard has... knowing the chipset, you know if it already supports SATA III or not. If it doesn't, they will recommend that you buy one of the cheaper SATA II SSDs instead of the newer SATA III - no sense in spending extra for something you won't benefit from anyway.

Leo the Lion
Reply #27 Friday, January 6, 2012 1:26 AM

Interesting discussion..........I've been toying with the idea of upgrading my laptop hard drive to an SSD. I was going to do some research this weekend but a lot of the questions that I was going to be asking myself have been answered in this thread. Thanks guys, really appreciate it. For those of you, like me, who live in the US - I'd have a close look at the supplier Newegg.com who are really good on prices and service. Here's a link to their SSD page that includes all the goodies/prices and a tutorial........... http://www.newegg.com/Store/Category.aspx?Category=119&name=SSD

JcRabbit
Reply #28 Friday, January 6, 2012 1:51 AM

When upgrading your hard drives to an SSD and you are cloning the hard drive, don't forget about the partition alignment issue with SSDs!

Jafo
Reply #29 Friday, January 6, 2012 5:41 AM

MadDeez
yeah, paul, but you're still running sata II. and a small ssd at that. aren't you still running that 60 gig sandforce drive?

Yes...a OCX SSD 60gig...time to update....considering Graphics is now a GTX590....

Leo the Lion
Reply #30 Friday, January 6, 2012 11:26 PM

Thanks JC.........something else I did not know 

kona0197
Reply #31 Monday, January 16, 2012 11:41 PM

If I buy an SSD how do I install Windows 7 if my copy that came with the notebook is bundled with other software?

MadDeez
Reply #32 Monday, January 16, 2012 11:56 PM

i just picked up a 240 gig corsair force gt sunday. i'm slightly surprised  as to how much faster it is than the 120 gt it replaced. the trip to indy was fruitful in other ways, too. i also got an ipad 2 at the apple store and ate at Five Guys for the first time. i gotta tell ya, a Five Guys cheeseburger is worth the 80 minute drive to 82nd street in Indy.

Jafo
Reply #33 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 12:08 AM

kona0197
If I buy an SSD how do I install Windows 7 if my copy that came with the notebook is bundled with other software?

Image the drive...

benmanns
Reply #34 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 1:17 AM

infact comparing SSD prices with current HDD prices i would grab me a SSD- Not trying to say i dont care about the Taiwan people but a normal HDD for 150 euros + is heavy
Even if the capüacity of these HDD´s is higher i would get me a new SSD these days before buying ANY HDD
Like already said prices have to drop and then SSD´s will be sold like Hot Brezels
But its hard to make a choice be it >SSD- or the SSD-pci-e card or just wait for thunderbolt
I guess only time can tell
PS: i have an old samsung spinpoint F series running on my Gigabyte GA-Z68XP-UD3P and the board takes advantage of it and boosts it up to 60% more performace.

kona0197
Reply #35 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 1:25 AM

Jafo I don't own any imaging software nor plan on getting any. Besides I heard you have to do something special to install Windows on an SSD.

Jafo
Reply #36 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 6:47 AM

kona0197
Jafo I don't own any imaging software nor plan on getting any. Besides I heard you have to do something special to install Windows on an SSD.

Imaging software is THE way, like it or lump it.  Advice is only any good if it's taken.

There is no 'difference' between installing Windows on an SSD vs any other sort of drive......other than read/write sppeds means it'll be faster....

MadDeez
Reply #37 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 7:31 AM

sppeds?

Jafo
Reply #38 Tuesday, January 17, 2012 8:38 AM

sppeds....it's hot....too hot to quibble....27c at 12.38am ....

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